Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Malkin 48.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 91.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 66.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Cizikas
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Malkin
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Cizikas
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
47.9% (776)
+5.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (24)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
100.0% (1)
-48.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Malkin
Home
58.6% (307)
49.6% (405)
Away
48.7% (339)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Cizikas
Malkin
P1
56.7%
49.6%
P2
49.8%
47.2%
P3
53.8%
48.5%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |