Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 57 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Malkin 45.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 67-65 in 132 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 87.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 67.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Cizikas
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
65
(132 meetings)
67
65
Cizikas
Malkin
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
17
40
Cizikas
Malkin
57 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
20
10
Cizikas
Malkin
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
30
15
Cizikas
Malkin
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
45.6% (10,081)
+7.8%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
50.1% (668)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
32.2% (59)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Malkin
Home
53.7% (5,498)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Cizikas
Malkin
P1
53.0%
45.9%
P2
51.1%
46.2%
P3
51.7%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |