Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 61.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cizikas
Tavares
Last 6: Cizikas 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Cizikas
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
57.5% (914)
-1.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
60.5% (309)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
59.1% (22)
-18.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
55.0% (473)
61.0% (661)
Away
51.7% (466)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
54.9%
58.6%
P2
50.8%
57.8%
P3
54.5%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |