Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 56.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cizikas
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
57.7% (998)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.5% (271)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
56.4% (39)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
55.4% (303)
59.7% (610)
Away
54.9% (308)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
53.0%
57.2%
P2
56.0%
58.5%
P3
56.2%
59.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |