Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Tavares 58.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 81.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
59.2% (1,035)
-5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.0% (310)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
42.9% (7)
+8.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
58.6% (307)
57.5% (668)
Away
48.7% (339)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
56.7%
58.0%
P2
49.8%
60.1%
P3
53.8%
61.0%
OT
100.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |