Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Backlund 49.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 84.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 52.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 72.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Cizikas
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
50.1% (891)
+4.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.1% (64)
+46.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
47.8% (278)
-0.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Backlund
Home
53.3% (270)
48.1% (580)
Away
54.8% (299)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Cizikas
Backlund
P1
57.2%
45.1%
P2
56.3%
54.7%
P3
49.5%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |