Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Backlund 50.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 84.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 56.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 69.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Cizikas
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cizikas
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Cizikas
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Cizikas
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
51.5% (983)
+6.3%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
49.4% (87)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
45.3% (159)
-0.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Backlund
Home
56.6% (484)
51.6% (653)
Away
54.5% (477)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Cizikas
Backlund
P1
57.2%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
49.8%
P3
54.8%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |