Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Backlund 50.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 64.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 73.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Cizikas
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Cizikas
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
51.0% (1,205)
+2.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.3% (108)
+40.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
42.3% (234)
+9.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Backlund
Home
58.6% (307)
51.2% (782)
Away
48.7% (339)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Cizikas
Backlund
P1
56.7%
51.5%
P2
49.8%
49.8%
P3
53.8%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |