Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Backlund 50.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 68.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Cizikas
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
51.9% (1,083)
+4.5%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
51.7% (120)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
44.3% (183)
-3.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Backlund
Home
55.0% (473)
51.9% (673)
Away
51.7% (466)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Cizikas
Backlund
P1
54.9%
51.4%
P2
50.8%
50.5%
P3
54.5%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |