Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.6%). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Sturm 53.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 67.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 65.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 54.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Cizikas
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cizikas
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
54.6% (271)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
54.4% (90)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Sturm
Home
53.3% (270)
53.0% (168)
Away
54.8% (299)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Cizikas
Sturm
P1
57.2%
58.2%
P2
56.3%
53.2%
P3
49.5%
52.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |