Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Sturm 55.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 54.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Cizikas
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cizikas
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Cizikas
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
56.1% (716)
+0.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
67.7% (31)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
51.1% (133)
-10.5%
On power play, Sturm has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Sturm
Home
55.0% (473)
55.6% (412)
Away
51.7% (466)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Cizikas
Sturm
P1
54.9%
59.6%
P2
50.8%
52.0%
P3
54.5%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |