Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Sturm 56.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 59.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 57.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 58.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Cizikas
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Cizikas
Sturm
Last 10: Cizikas 7-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Cizikas
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
2
Cizikas
Sturm
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
2
Cizikas
Sturm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
57.1% (2,719)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
61.3% (62)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
51.0% (498)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Sturm
Home
53.7% (5,498)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Cizikas
Sturm
P1
53.0%
56.5%
P2
51.1%
54.9%
P3
51.7%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |