Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Sturm 59.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 86.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 61.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 62.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Cizikas
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cizikas
Sturm
Last 10: Cizikas 7-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Cizikas
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
0
Cizikas
Sturm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
60.6% (708)
-6.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.1% (18)
+38.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
56.4% (101)
-4.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Sturm
Home
58.6% (307)
61.6% (451)
Away
48.7% (339)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Cizikas
Sturm
P1
56.7%
55.9%
P2
49.8%
58.9%
P3
53.8%
64.6%
OT
100.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |