Casey Cizikas vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 51.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 60.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 50.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Cizikas
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Cizikas
Carpenter
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
3
Cizikas
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
3
Cizikas
Carpenter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
49.6% (2,027)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
41.5% (41)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
43.9% (467)
+0.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carpenter
Home
53.7% (5,498)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Cizikas
Carpenter
P1
53.0%
49.6%
P2
51.1%
47.7%
P3
51.7%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |