Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 50.1%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 58.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 58.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Cizikas
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
53.2% (299)
+4.6%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
33.3% (3)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
46.5% (86)
-1.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carpenter
Home
56.6% (484)
54.6% (207)
Away
54.5% (477)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Cizikas
Carpenter
P1
57.2%
52.3%
P2
54.7%
51.5%
P3
54.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
57.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
55.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%