Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 55.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 52.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Cizikas
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cizikas
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Cizikas
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
48.8% (404)
+4.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
43.6% (101)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Cizikas shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carpenter
Home
58.6% (307)
48.9% (274)
Away
48.7% (339)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Cizikas
Carpenter
P1
56.7%
51.9%
P2
49.8%
49.4%
P3
53.8%
41.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |