Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 54.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 77.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Cizikas
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Cizikas
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
53.1% (113)
+3.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
100.0% (1)
-58.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
60.0% (10)
-19.4%
On power play, Carpenter has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carpenter
Home
55.0% (473)
58.5% (65)
Away
51.7% (466)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Cizikas
Carpenter
P1
54.9%
65.8%
P2
50.8%
50.0%
P3
54.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |