Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Carpenter 50.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 51.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 78.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Cizikas
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cizikas
Carpenter
Last 5: Cizikas 3-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Cizikas
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
48.4% (314)
+6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
57.0% (79)
-8.5%
On power play, Carpenter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Cizikas is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Cizikas shoots left. Carpenter is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carpenter
Home
55.1% (448)
55.8% (197)
Away
51.0% (443)
44.8% (201)
By Period
Cizikas
Carpenter
P1
51.7%
48.3%
P2
53.1%
47.8%
P3
54.5%
54.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |