Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Johansen 52.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 82.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Cizikas
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Johansen
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Cizikas
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
49.4% (1,010)
+8.4%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
62.3% (236)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
67.2% (67)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Johansen
Home
56.6% (484)
54.7% (655)
Away
54.5% (477)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Cizikas
Johansen
P1
57.2%
52.2%
P2
54.7%
50.7%
P3
54.8%
54.8%
OT
100.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |