Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.1%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Johansen 52.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 75.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 66.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Cizikas
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Johansen
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Cizikas
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
51.9% (597)
+1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.9% (133)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
54.3% (81)
-2.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Cizikas shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Johansen
Home
58.6% (307)
55.8% (387)
Away
48.7% (339)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Cizikas
Johansen
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
56.2%
P3
53.8%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |