Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Cizikas
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cizikas
Johansen
Last 8: Cizikas 2-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Cizikas
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Cizikas
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
59.8% (625)
-3.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
58.2% (196)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
51.9% (27)
-11.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Johansen
Home
55.0% (473)
60.3% (436)
Away
51.7% (466)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Cizikas
Johansen
P1
54.9%
61.3%
P2
50.8%
60.4%
P3
54.5%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |