Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Carrick 49.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 60.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 79.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 74.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Cizikas
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cizikas
Carrick
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
2
Cizikas
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
48.9% (352)
+8.9%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
81.3% (16)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
42.2% (45)
+2.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carrick
Home
56.6% (484)
46.9% (192)
Away
54.5% (477)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Cizikas
Carrick
P1
57.2%
48.1%
P2
54.7%
50.0%
P3
54.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |