Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Carrick 53.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 64.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Cizikas
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Cizikas
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
53.8% (654)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
63.9% (36)
-30.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carrick
Home
55.4% (303)
50.0% (328)
Away
54.9% (308)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Cizikas
Carrick
P1
53.0%
56.7%
P2
56.0%
51.1%
P3
56.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |