Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Carrick 52.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 52.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 54.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Cizikas
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Cizikas
Carrick
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
5
Cizikas
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Cizikas
Carrick
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
52.1% (2,513)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
61.3% (75)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
50.7% (430)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carrick
Home
53.7% (5,498)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Cizikas
Carrick
P1
53.0%
51.8%
P2
51.1%
52.2%
P3
51.7%
52.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |