Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Aho 50.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 92.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 80.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Cizikas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Cizikas
Aho
Last 9: Cizikas 7-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
2
Cizikas
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
49.9% (851)
+4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.5% (144)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
43.3% (60)
+4.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Aho
Home
53.3% (270)
53.2% (554)
Away
54.8% (299)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Cizikas
Aho
P1
57.2%
49.1%
P2
56.3%
50.8%
P3
49.5%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |