Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 54.1%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 82.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 84.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Cizikas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cizikas
Aho
Last 7: Cizikas 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Cizikas
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
51.2% (785)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
63.8% (213)
+36.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
57.9% (57)
-6.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Aho
Home
58.6% (307)
54.9% (548)
Away
48.7% (339)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Cizikas
Aho
P1
56.7%
52.8%
P2
49.8%
58.9%
P3
53.8%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |