Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.3%). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Aho 54.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 73.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Cizikas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cizikas
Aho
Last 5: Cizikas 3-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
54.5% (870)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
62.4% (266)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
37.1% (62)
-3.8%
On power play, Aho has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Aho
Home
55.4% (303)
53.9% (603)
Away
54.9% (308)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Cizikas
Aho
P1
53.0%
54.1%
P2
56.0%
55.0%
P3
56.2%
57.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |