Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Aho 51.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 69.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 92.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 71.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Cizikas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Aho
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Cizikas
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
48.5% (778)
+7.9%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
63.4% (191)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
50.8% (65)
-10.2%
On power play, Aho has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Aho
Home
55.0% (473)
51.3% (530)
Away
51.7% (466)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Cizikas
Aho
P1
54.9%
50.0%
P2
50.8%
51.3%
P3
54.5%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |