Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 80.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 69.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Cizikas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Stamkos
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Cizikas
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
49.3% (789)
+8.5%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
56.9% (181)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
54.1% (98)
-9.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stamkos
Home
56.6% (484)
52.0% (512)
Away
54.5% (477)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Cizikas
Stamkos
P1
57.2%
42.1%
P2
54.7%
56.4%
P3
54.8%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |