Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 84.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Cizikas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cizikas
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
49.3% (670)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.7% (121)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stamkos
Home
55.4% (303)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.9% (308)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Cizikas
Stamkos
P1
53.0%
48.6%
P2
56.0%
54.5%
P3
56.2%
45.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%