Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Cizikas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Cizikas
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
56.1% (342)
-1.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.3% (92)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
62.5% (8)
-14.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stamkos
Home
53.3% (270)
53.4% (208)
Away
54.8% (299)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Cizikas
Stamkos
P1
57.2%
55.6%
P2
56.3%
52.8%
P3
49.5%
59.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |