Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 80.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 59.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Cizikas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cizikas
Gourde
Last 7: Cizikas 2-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Cizikas
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Cizikas
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
49.1% (847)
+7.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
79.5% (44)
-38.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
39.5% (81)
+1.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Gourde
Home
55.0% (473)
50.1% (491)
Away
51.7% (466)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Cizikas
Gourde
P1
54.9%
54.7%
P2
50.8%
45.0%
P3
54.5%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |