Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 63.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 62.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Cizikas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Cizikas
Gourde
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
4
Cizikas
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Cizikas
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
51.2% (469)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
37.5% (48)
-4.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Gourde
Home
55.4% (303)
47.8% (301)
Away
54.9% (308)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Cizikas
Gourde
P1
53.0%
47.3%
P2
56.0%
53.4%
P3
56.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |