Casey Mittelstadt vs Elias Pettersson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Pettersson 44.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 63.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Last 8: Mittelstadt 4-4 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
44.1% (912)
+1.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
61.5% (39)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
34.8% (46)
+5.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Home
45.1% (366)
45.0% (489)
Away
46.8% (370)
43.7% (508)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
P1
41.1%
46.0%
P2
51.1%
45.7%
P3
45.9%
42.2%
OT
30.0%
23.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |