Casey Mittelstadt vs Elias Pettersson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Pettersson 50.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 61.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 61.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Last 5: Mittelstadt 3-2 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
50.4% (698)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
63.2% (57)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
40.9% (44)
+9.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Home
47.7% (583)
50.7% (420)
Away
46.4% (541)
50.9% (379)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
P1
50.0%
48.0%
P2
46.2%
47.6%
P3
45.5%
57.5%
OT
25.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |