Casey Mittelstadt vs Elias Pettersson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Pettersson 47.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
2
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
46.3% (790)
-1.6%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
53.1% (147)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.9% (27)
-11.9%
On power play, Pettersson has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Home
46.0% (491)
48.1% (489)
Away
42.4% (512)
46.9% (475)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
P1
44.0%
47.4%
P2
46.4%
48.3%
P3
41.9%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |