Casey Mittelstadt vs Frank Nazar
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.3%). Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Nazar 45.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 62.3%
Defensive zone
Nazar 60.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.4%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Last 8: Mittelstadt 5-3 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Nazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
2
Mittelstadt
Nazar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Nazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
46.1% (866)
-1.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
46.5% (172)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
33.3% (69)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Nazar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Home
46.7% (2,316)
44.2% (536)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
46.4% (571)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Nazar
P1
46.8%
47.3%
P2
46.1%
42.0%
P3
44.0%
46.0%
OT
36.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |