Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Rossi 49.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 54.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
52.3% (283)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
36.4% (33)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
34.6% (26)
+65.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rossi is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Home
60.7% (89)
46.5% (157)
Away
43.1% (65)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rossi
P1
46.3%
56.0%
P2
52.9%
48.2%
P3
58.6%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |