Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Rossi 45.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 50.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 59.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
3
Mittelstadt
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
1
Mittelstadt
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
6
Mittelstadt
Rossi
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
44.5% (701)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
56.1% (41)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
0.0% (7)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Home
47.7% (583)
46.8% (385)
Away
46.4% (541)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rossi
P1
50.0%
42.8%
P2
46.2%
43.9%
P3
45.5%
47.4%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |