Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Rossi 47.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
5
Mittelstadt
Rossi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
46.5% (879)
-1.8%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
48.6% (105)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (8)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Home
46.0% (491)
47.5% (520)
Away
42.4% (512)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rossi
P1
44.0%
47.8%
P2
46.4%
44.2%
P3
41.9%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |