Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Rossi 50.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 51.4%
Defensive zone
Rossi 61.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
52.8% (400)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
36.1% (36)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.0% (27)
+63.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Home
59.3% (91)
50.0% (242)
Away
42.5% (80)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rossi
P1
48.8%
54.9%
P2
49.1%
48.7%
P3
56.7%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |