Casey Mittelstadt vs Mark Jankowski
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Jankowski 50.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 56.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 65.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
49.3% (134)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
37.5% (8)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
61.9% (21)
-11.9%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Home
47.7% (583)
54.2% (72)
Away
46.4% (541)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
P1
50.0%
54.2%
P2
46.2%
42.4%
P3
45.5%
55.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |