Casey Mittelstadt vs Mark Jankowski
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Jankowski 50.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 75.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 91.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 88.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 84.8%
15.2%
84.8%
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Last 6: Mittelstadt 5-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
51.3% (347)
-6.6%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
72.7% (11)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.0% (75)
-4.0%
On power play, Jankowski has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Home
46.0% (491)
46.8% (188)
Away
42.4% (512)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
P1
44.0%
51.6%
P2
46.4%
49.3%
P3
41.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |