Casey Mittelstadt vs Mark Jankowski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 73.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 94.7%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 88.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 85.2%
14.8%
85.2%
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Last 10: Mittelstadt 8-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
1
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
2
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
51.5% (3,462)
-6.5%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
53.7% (95)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
42.8% (528)
-5.3%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
Home
46.7% (2,316)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jankowski
P1
46.8%
50.0%
P2
46.1%
51.2%
P3
44.0%
50.2%
OT
36.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |