Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Domi 53.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 72.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Mittelstadt
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Mittelstadt
Domi
Last 6: Mittelstadt 1-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Mittelstadt
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
4
Mittelstadt
Domi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
53.8% (847)
-8.5%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
52.1% (96)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
57.1% (7)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Domi
Home
45.1% (366)
53.9% (445)
Away
46.8% (370)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Domi
P1
41.1%
51.4%
P2
51.1%
55.3%
P3
45.9%
54.7%
OT
30.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |