Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Domi 48.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.0%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Mittelstadt
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Mittelstadt
Domi
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Domi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
4
Mittelstadt
Domi
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
2
3
Mittelstadt
Domi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
48.1% (4,296)
-3.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
53.4% (633)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
48.8% (41)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Domi
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Domi
P1
46.8%
48.7%
P2
46.1%
48.3%
P3
44.0%
49.8%
OT
36.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 23, 2018 | OT | 00:45 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Max Domi |