Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Domi 50.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 55.8%
Defensive zone
Domi 57.1%
Neutral zone
Domi 58.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Mittelstadt
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mittelstadt
Domi
Last 5: Mittelstadt 3-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Mittelstadt
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
49.7% (394)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
51.7% (58)
-1.4%
On even strength, Domi has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Domi
Home
47.7% (583)
53.2% (235)
Away
46.4% (541)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Domi
P1
50.0%
54.4%
P2
46.2%
46.6%
P3
45.5%
49.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |