Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs McCarron 53.4% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 72.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 64.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 57.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Mittelstadt
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
57.5% (308)
-11.6%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
50.0% (2)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
32.6% (43)
-10.4%
On even strength, McCarron has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
47.2% (193)
48.3% (147)
Away
42.9% (259)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
49.0%
53.4%
P2
45.7%
59.5%
P3
38.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |