Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs McCarron 52.5% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 86.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 54.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Mittelstadt
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
53.1% (672)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
18.2% (11)
+36.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.7% (205)
+46.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
59.3% (91)
52.8% (477)
Away
42.5% (80)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
48.8%
56.5%
P2
49.1%
53.2%
P3
56.7%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%