Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 45.6% vs McCarron 52.7% (-7.3%)
H2H factor McCarron leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 90.8%
Defensive zone McCarron 56.6%
Neutral zone Mittelstadt 72.9%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Mittelstadt McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 7 (10 meetings)
3
7
Mittelstadt McCarron
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 McCarron

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
6
Mittelstadt McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Mittelstadt McCarron
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
53.4% (2,901)
-8.4%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
45.3% (86)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.5% (463)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +13.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
46.7% (2,316)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
46.8%
53.9%
P2
46.1%
52.5%
P3
44.0%
52.0%
OT
36.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
45.5%
McCarron
48.0%
48.5%
52.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 14, 2024 2 19:19 Defensive Michael McCarron
Dec 14, 2024 1 17:27 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Dec 14, 2024 1 15:30 Neutral Michael McCarron
Nov 11, 2024 2 07:07 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 11, 2024 1 11:11 Defensive Michael McCarron
Dec 3, 2023 3 17:42 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Dec 3, 2023 2 14:26 Defensive Michael McCarron
Apr 1, 2022 3 17:20 Defensive Michael McCarron
Apr 1, 2022 2 17:25 Defensive Michael McCarron
Apr 1, 2022 2 12:53 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt